Read this article:
Can Markets Predict Elections?
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Then check
Iowa Electronic Markets
As of August 28th, 2004:
President Bush - 54.5
Senator Kerry - 45.6
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After that, look at
Intrade
As of August 28th, 2004
President Bush - 55.9
Senator Kerry - 44.0
posted by Patrick at Saturday, August 28, 2004