Read this article:
Can Markets Predict Elections?
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Then check
Iowa Electronic Markets
As of August 27th, 2004:
President Bush - 53.4
Senator Kerry - 47.1
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After that, look at
Intrade
As of August 27th, 2004
President Bush - 55.2
Senator Kerry - 45.9
posted by Patrick at Friday, August 27, 2004