Read this article:
Can Markets Predict Elections?
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Then check
Iowa Electronic Markets
As of September 20th, 2004:
President Bush - 61.1
Senator Kerry - 39.4
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After that, look at
Intrade
As of September 20th, 2004
President Bush - 68.1
Senator Kerry - 32.0
posted by Patrick at Monday, September 20, 2004