Read this article:
Can Markets Predict Elections?
______________________________________
Then check
Iowa Electronic Markets
As of September 1st, 2004:
President Bush - 54.1
Senator Kerry - 47.2
______________________________________
After that, look at
Intrade
As of September 1st, 2004
President Bush - 58.9
Senator Kerry - 42.6
posted by Patrick at Wednesday, September 01, 2004